7.2.2 Results

Cost overview totals

The cost model was run for each case with the input cost elements set to their base (most probable) values, according to the case. The corresponding costs have been termed the "Medium" scenario. Subsequently the model was run to determine the three main uncorrelated drivers that had the largest impact on cost: field capacity, well capacity (injectivity times the life of the well) and liability. Other cost items associated to well capacity sometimes have a large impact on cost (e.g. well completion cost), but these are related to the well capacity driver. Liability, though, is entirely decoupled from other items and has a great impact on Low cost scenarios (IEAGHG, 2012).

Low and High cost scenarios were then attained as follows: for each case, the model was run with these three chief drivers set to their minimum values for the Low cost scenarios and maximum values for the High cost scenarios, while taking care of their combined effects. Such a procedure has the advantage over mathematically more rigorous techniques (e.g. Monte Carlo techniques) that the Low and High scenarios correspond to a transparent set of input cost elements, while still representing realistic (reasonably probable) Low and High scenarios.

The total storage COsts estimated by the ZEP study are presented in Fig. 7-1 with the CAPEX/OPEX per case presented in Tab. 7-4, 7-5, 7-6, 7-7, 7-8 and 7-9.

E. Fig . 7-1

Fig. 7-1: Total cost of storage (€/tonne). After IEAGHG (2012).

Tab. 7-4: Ons.DOGF.Leg cost summary - annualised CAPEX takes the WACC into account, after IEAGHG, 2012.

Ons.DOGF.Leg

Low

Medium

High

CO2 stored (Mt)

200

66

40

Lifetime (yr)

40

40

40

CO2 rate (Mt p a)

5

2

1

CAPEX (M€)

27

27

29

Annualised CAPEX (M€ p a)

2

2

2

OPEX (M€ p a)

2

3

4

CAPEX (€ per tonne)

0

0

1

Annualised CAPEX (€ per tonne)

0

1

2

OPEX (€ per tonne)

0

2

4

Cost of storage (€ per tonne)

1

3

7

Tab. 7-5: Ons.DOGF.NoLeg cost summary - annualised CAPEX takes the WACC into account. After IEAGHG (2012).

Ons.DOGF.NoLeg

Low

Medium

High

CO2 stored (Mt)

200

66

40

Lifetime (yr)

40

40

40

CO2 rate (Mt p a)

5

2

1

CAPEX (M€)

48

48

68

Annualised CAPEX (M€ p a)

4

4

6

OPEX (M€ p a)

2

3

4

CAPEX (€ per tonne)

0

1

2

Annualised CAPEX (€ per tonne)

1

2

6

OPEX (€ per tonne)

0

2

4

Cost of storage (€ per tonne)

1

4

10

Tab. 7-6: Ons.SA.NoLeg cost summary - annualised CAPEX takes the WACC into account. After IEAGHG (2012).

Ons.SA.NoLeg

Low

Medium

High

CO2 stored (Mt)

200

66

40

Lifetime (yr)

40

40

40

CO2 rate (Mt p a)

5

2

1

CAPEX (M€)

70

70

89

Annualised CAPEX (M€ p a)

6

6

7

OPEX (M€ p a)

2

3

4

CAPEX (€ per tonne)

0

1

2

Annualised CAPEX (€ per tonne)

1

4

7

OPEX (€ per tonne)

0

2

4

Cost of storage (€ per tonne)

2

5

12

Tab. 7-7: Offs.DOGF.Leg cost summary - annualised CAPEX takes the WACC into account. After IEAGHG (2012).

Offs.DOGF.Leg

Low

Medium

High

CO2 stored (Mt)

200

66

40

Lifetime (yr)

40

40

40

CO2 rate (Mt p a)

5

2

1

CAPEX (M€)

56

48

44

Annualised CAPEX (M€ p a)

5

4

4

OPEX (M€ p a)

6

6

6

CAPEX (€ per tonne)

0

1

1

Annualised CAPEX (€ per tonne)

1

2

4

OPEX (€ per tonne)

1

4

6

Cost of storage (€ per tonne)

2

6

9

Tab. 7-8: Offs.DOGF.NoLeg cost summary - annualised CAPEX takes the WACC into account. After IEAGHG (2012).

Offs.DOGF.NoLeg

Low

Medium

High

CO2 stored (Mt)

200

66

40

Lifetime (yr)

40

40

40

CO2 rate (Mt p a)

5

2

1

CAPEX (M€)

127

120

96

Annualised CAPEX (M€ p a)

11

10

8

OPEX (M€ p a)

6

6

6

CAPEX (€ per tonne)

1

2

2

Annualised CAPEX (€ per tonne)

2

6

8

OPEX (€ per tonne)

1

4

6

Cost of storage (€ per tonne)

3

10

14

Tab. 7-9: Offs.SA.NoLeg cost summary - annualised CAPEX takes the WACC into account. After IEAGHG (2012).

Offs.SA.NoLeg

Low

Medium

High

CO2 stored (Mt)

200

66

40

Lifetime (yr)

40

40

40

CO2 rate (Mt p a)

5

2

1

CAPEX (M€)

238

199

169

Annualised CAPEX (M€ p a)

20

17

14

OPEX (M€ p a)

8

7

6

CAPEX (€ per tonne)

1

3

4

Annualised CAPEX (€ per tonne)

4

10

14

OPEX (€ per tonne)

2

4

6

Cost of storage (€ per tonne)

6

14

20

Cost breakdown per project phase

Cost analysis per project phase provides insights regarding cost differentiators between cases and the succeeding project phases and associated cost components were consequently defined in the ZEP study (Tab. 7-10).

Tab. 7-10: Project phases and associated cost elements. After IEAGHG (2012).

Phase

Description

Typical cost elements

Pre-FID

Activities prior to decision whether to go ahead with injection

Seismic survey, exploration wells, injection testing, modelling, permitting

Structure

Construction of supporting structure for injection Wells (e.g. offshore platform)

New build or refurbishment (offshore)

Injection wells

Construction of injectors

Drilling of new wells, refurbishing of legacy wells

Operating

CO2 injection phase (40 years)

Operations and maintenance OPEX

MMV

Monitoring activities (both during the injection and the post-injection phase)

Drilling of observation wells, monitoring OPEX, final seismic survey

Close down

Close down activities

Decommissioning, liability transfer

E. Fig . 7-2

Fig. 7-2: Breakdown of cost components - medium scenarios for all six cases (€/tonne CO2 stored), after IEAGHG, 2012.

Variations and uncertainties

A broad sensitivity study was done in all the cases, not just for the three cost elements that were used to compute the ranges of cost - field capacity, well capacity and liability -, but also for the other top five cost elements that have a substantial effect on cost, i.e., well completion, reservoir depth, WACC and the number of new observation and exploration wells. The cost impact of the other 18 cost elements was not found to be significant enough to be taken into account in the sensitivity study (IEAGHG, 2012).