3.2.2 Risk assessment in the EU CCS Directive

In the EU CCS Directive, the risk assessment processes is a part of the site characterisation and assessment of the potential storage complex described in article 4(3). Hence, it is a mandatory task in the planning process for a geological storage site of CO2 and the risk assessment must be a part of the storage permit. Following the EU CCS Directive, the risk assessment include:

  • Hazard characterisation,
  • Exposure assessment,
  • Effects assessment,
  • Risk characterisation.

The aim of the hazard characterisation is to test the security of the storage complex. Therefore, the entire range of operating conditions must be covered. Issues to consider are potential leakage pathways, potential magnitude of different leakage events, critical parameters that affect potential leakage, secondary effects of CO2 storage and any factors that could pose a hazard to human health or the environment. Examples of critical parameters are maximum reservoir pressure, maximum injection rate and temperature. Amongst the secondary effects of CO2 storage are displacement of formation fluids, new minerals and other substances created by storing CO2.

The exposure assessment concerns the environment and human activities on top of the storage complex. The assessment should also include how CO2 reacts when it reaches the ground or seafloor.

The effect assessment comprises the effects of leaking CO2, including impurities from the injected CO2 stream or substances that have formed in the storage reservoir, to the biosphere. It is based on how sensitive species, communities and habitats are to CO2 and other potential substances co-injected with CO2 or mobilised/formed as a result of CO2 reactions with fluids or mineral matrix within the storage complex.

The risk characterisation is the assessment of the short- and long-term safety and integrity of the storage site and is based on the hazard, exposure and effects assessments. It assesses the risks of leakage and includes the worst-case scenarios of leaking CO2 and the effects to the environment and to health. Sources of uncertainties are also included in the assessment and a description of the possibilities to reduce uncertainties should be included.