1.3 Potential impacts

CO2 and CO2-bearing fluids might have various effects in the deep underground, in drinking-water aquifers, in the shallow subsurface and in the aboveground environment. The impact of the CO2 differs depending on its concentrations, the compartment affected and also the location. Thus, two major challenges in evaluating the risks posed by released CO2 are:

  • estimating the spatial and temporal distribution of CO2 fluxes entering spaces or objects that should be protected;
  • predicting ambient CO2 concentrations resulting from given CO2 fluxes.

Depending on the characteristics of the leakage pathways, a surface release may be concentrated and spot-like or diffuse and widespread over a broad area. High flux densities (mass flow per area and time) could occur in the vicinity of leaking wells (including blow-outs), resulting in high concentrations in the affected locations. However, the evaluation of the risk depends largely on the released quantity and, if direct damage occurred, it would be restricted to the vicinity of the leak. In contrast, a diffuse leakage of large quantities over large areas might result in low flux densities that may not be noticed for a while. In either case, a significant risk to humans or the environment may or may not be created depending on the amount of CO2 that has leaked out, the flux density and the resulting concentrations (Benson, 2006). The latter example of a diffuse flux highlights the necessity of comprehensive monitoring plans.

The leakage of large quantities of CO2 might be detected, e.g. by monitoring reservoir pressures, well before CO2 will reach the surface or build-up to detectable geochemical anomalies in shallow groundwater. At such first indications of leakage, measures can be taken to prevent negative effects on protected goods at the surface. In addition, monitoring at the surface and of the shallow subsurface may be intensified in order to detect and quantify possible diffuse fluxes.

The quantification of risks includes predictions of magnitude and impact of CO2 on the surrounding environment. Natural CO2 release is a frequent phenomenon in various regions, world-wide. These sites can be used to establish magnitude-impact relations for various environments (Roberts et al., 2011). Field measurements demonstrate a wide range of fluxes that results from CO2 ascending through various crustal rocks. Natural sites can be used to validate monitoring methods at different surface conditions in the storage area and to test concepts for different magnitudes expected. Because of the natural variability, various methods are required for site-specific monitoring of CO2 leakage risks.

Though the total release or flux rates are proportional to possible impacts, for human health and safety the actual concentrations in the breathing air are critical. In poorly ventilated rooms low fluxes may accumulate over time to hazardous concentrations, while in open air conditions turbulent mixing can maintain concentrations in tolerable ranges, even in the surroundings of a well blow-out (Ferrara and Stefani, 1977).

Thus, depending on the monitoring purpose, various monitoring parameter have to be recorded:

  • total release for emission trading,
  • flux for operators and regulators decisions about corrective measures,
  • ambient concentrations for human safety.
 

in depth

1.3.1 Health, safety and environmental (HSE) monitoring

Negative effects on human health, plant or animal life are at risk, if concentrations of hazardous substances (see 1.3.4...

1.3.2 Monitoring for accounting of emission certificates (ETS monitoring)

In contrast to HSE monitoring, concentrations of substances do not matter for monitoring according to the Monitoring and...

1.3.3 Operational monitoring

For the purpose of storage operation, the focus of monitoring is on the storage reservoir and the caprock. Early detecti...

1.3.4 Substances of concern

Risks may arise directly from CO2 (see 1.3.1 to 1.3.3) or from its associated incidental substances, saline formation wa...

1.3.5 Geomechanical processes of concern

Geomechanical effects of CO2 storage may also have negative consequences for HSE. CO2 injection in the deep underground ...